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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 514.29 | $0.150 | $9 | -$68 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?Up | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 51.28 |
| $0.390 |
| $3.33 |
| -$16.67 |
| buy |
| 51.28 |
| $0.390 |
| $20 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | buy | 50.55 | $0.396 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.770 | $20.53 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 264.29 | $0.140 | $37 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 776.92 | $0.013 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?Yes | buy | 30.35 | $0.659 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 47.18 | $0.424 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the House vote on a government funding bill today?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.926 | $13.42 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | sell | 76.92 | $0.120 | $9.23 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.023 | $9.33 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor FritzAlcaraz | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.110 | $24.44 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.43 | $0.120 | $3.53 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 158.62 | $0.126 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.44 | $0.160 | $4.71 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.420 | $44.21 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.130 | $6 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 214.29 | $0.280 | $60 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | sell | 97.56 | $0.680 | $66.34 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 69.23 | $0.026 | $1.8 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?Yes | sell | 790.3 | $0.047 | $36.78 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign in 2025?Yes | buy | 174.45 | $0.052 | $9 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 694.44 | $0.144 | $100 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.08K | $0.032 | $98.46 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.08K | $0.039 | $120 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.086 | $127.42 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 402.67 | $0.075 | $30 | Sep 4, 2025 |