Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?No | buy | 198.05 | $0.197 | $39 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.060 |
| $3 |
| Jun 23, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 71.71 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.016 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 879.17 | $0.012 | $10.55 | May 19, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.080 | $10.4 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 700 | $0.010 | $7 | May 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.670 | $7.05 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 550 | $0.010 | $5.5 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 77.14 | $0.070 | $5.4 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | May 17, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.022 | $1.47 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106000 and $108000 on May 16?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.075 | $20 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 15, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?Up | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | May 15, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?Up | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during his May 13 interview?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.630 | $1.14 | May 15, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?Up | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | May 14, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?Up | buy | 324.29 | $0.034 | $11 | May 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?Up | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | May 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?Down | sell | 56.75 | $0.900 | $51.08 | May 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?Down | buy | 56.76 | $0.370 | $21 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during his May 13 interview?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his May 13 interview?Yes | buy | 16.68 | $0.120 | $2 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 108.33 | $0.120 | $13 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon say "SpaceX" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?Yes | buy | 205.26 | $0.010 | $2 | May 13, 2025 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | May 13, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | May 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?Down | buy | 180 | $0.100 | $18 | May 13, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?Down | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 77.14 | $0.070 | $5.4 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2100 on May 16?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | May 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 13, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?Down | buy | 11.32 | $0.530 | $6 | May 12, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 12?Down | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |