Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 6:25 AM UTC.
Analytics
karaallison is down $133.02 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 6:25 AM UTC.
$14.88 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 46 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Mar 30, 2025 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours? | Yes | 11.46 | $0.590 | $7.05 | +$0.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes | buy | 11.46 | $0.590 | $6.76 | 2d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 13:09 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 06:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 06:25 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 13:09 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $57.94 and losing ones cost $143.57 across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $16.08 on “No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $47.91 on “Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 86 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.05 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 0.77 |
| $0.840 |
| $0.65 |
| 13d ago |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?No | buy | 24 | $0.570 | $13.68 | 13d ago |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 in September?Yes | buy | 11.8 | $0.700 | $8.26 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 24?No | buy | 15.39 | $0.740 | $11.39 | 27d ago |
 Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Patriots | buy | 17.27 | $0.561 | $9.69 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 28d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SD | buy | 10.53 | $0.810 | $8.53 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SD | buy | 20.32 | $0.820 | $16.66 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SD | buy | 15.72 | $0.820 | $12.89 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?No | buy | 13.24 | $0.998 | $13.21 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.999 | $3.83 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.999 | $6.46 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January?No | buy | 18.68 | $0.995 | $18.59 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No | buy | 12.83 | $0.998 | $12.8 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?No | buy | 26.87 | $0.999 | $26.84 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.998 | $2.61 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.998 | $6.34 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.999 | $20.18 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?No | buy | 47.24 | $0.998 | $47.15 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 23.14 | $0.998 | $23.09 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.999 | $20.92 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 20.17 | $0.999 | $20.15 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $270 in September?No | buy | 17.27 | $0.999 | $17.25 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.999 | $11.05 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $300 in September?No | buy | 17.62 | $0.999 | $17.6 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 16.88 | $0.999 | $16.86 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 17.06 | $0.998 | $17.03 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.999 | $11.42 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 12.49 | $0.999 | $12.48 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 15.16 | $0.999 | $15.14 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No | buy | 14.45 | $0.998 | $14.42 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.985 | $12.75 | Jul 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 13.25 | $0.997 | $13.21 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 19.88 | $0.999 | $19.86 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 18.81 | $0.999 | $18.79 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 2.93K | $0.997 | $2.92K | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 2.93K | $0.998 | $2.92K | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.02K | $0.998 | $5.01K | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No | buy | 113.09 | $0.999 | $112.98 | May 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No | buy | 32.43 | $0.998 | $32.37 | May 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in April?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.999 | $16.72 | Apr 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.998 | $10.16 | Apr 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?No | buy | 16.99 | $0.999 | $16.97 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.994 | $14.62 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 11.33 | $0.985 | $11.16 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 16.19 | $0.994 | $16.09 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will another party win the most seats in Saskatchewan in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 15.73 | $0.998 | $15.7 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 19.27 | $0.999 | $19.25 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $100 by March?No | buy | 7.67 | $0.998 | $7.65 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.