Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 50% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 6.5% on 20 Mar 2025. $109.49K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jjjtesty | Yes | 2.06K |
| babedibabop | Yes | 2K |
| RomerST | Yes | 1.15K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named entity launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between April 1, 12:00 AM and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the named entity's team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-q2-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1K |
| Baldinini | Yes | 596.7 |
| ndrim07 | Yes | 500 |
| simsz | Yes | 379.77 |
| Verifiable-Manor | Yes | 363.79 |
| Hodl2Moon | Yes | 291.18 |
| heipro | Yes | 285.71 |
