Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT ads by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.879 | $175.8 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.17K |
| $0.026 |
| $30.33 |
| Nov 23, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?No | buy | 163.3 | $0.612 | $100 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?No | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 348.84 | $0.860 | $300 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.060 | $40 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.958 | $479.1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 84.75 | $0.590 | $50 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 513.07 | $0.999 | $512.56 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 513.08 | $0.780 | $400 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.060 | $25 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 302.59 | $0.250 | $75.65 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 291.18 | $0.033 | $9.5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 205.26 | $0.190 | $39 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.013 | $25 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.524 | $187.14 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?No | buy | 168.95 | $0.888 | $150 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 321.88 | $0.311 | $100 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 121.95 | $0.590 | $71.95 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.570 | $178.12 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.053 | $18.93 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 403.23 | $0.124 | $50 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will England win the 2024 Euros?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Germany win Group A?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.830 | $4.27 | Jun 21, 2024 |
 Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jun 15, 2024 |