Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?

politicsResolved

M, settled Sep 17, 2026 UTC

0.0%

100.0%

Final SD 0¢Final M 100¢

Lifetime volume

$36.4K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved M on 17 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had M at 100%. The SD side opened at 82.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 17 Sep 2026, the highest close was 83% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 76 points down, to 0.2% on 14 Sep 2026. $36.45K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the SD price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 17 Sep 2026

SD price, first and latest
Observed	SD price
14 Aug 2026	82.5%
17 Sep 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Addarash	SD	6.29K
maceman	SD	571.81
Only1Hp	SD	463.2

10 of 34 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).