Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1? | No | 144.96 | $0.940 | $143.51 | +$7.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 10?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.154 | $23.15 | 9h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 75 |
| $0.680 |
| $68.25 |
| +$17.25 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 145 | $0.443 | $66.7 | +$2.45 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.480 | $53.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 75 | $0.660 | $48 | -$1.5 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | Over | 75 | $0.677 | $48 | -$2.75 |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 75 | $0.590 | $43.88 | -$0.38 |
 Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call? | Yes | 74.94 | $0.579 | $37.47 | -$5.89 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | Yes | 150 | $0.490 | $36.75 | -$36.75 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.800 | $36 | -$4 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | Yes | 100 | $0.742 | $31.5 | -$42.75 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 75 | $0.400 | $28.13 | -$1.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 10? | Yes | 150 | $0.154 | $24 | +$0.85 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | No | 75 | $0.280 | $23.63 | +$2.63 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.240 | $20.5 | -$3.5 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 68.82 | $0.510 | $19.96 | -$15.14 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 56.46 | $0.350 | $15.81 | -$3.95 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | Yes | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | $0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 10? | Yes | 138 | $0.180 | $4.83 | -$20.01 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.190 | $1.6 | -$7.9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 10? | Yes | 150 | $0.170 | $0.23 | -$25.28 |
| buy |
| 138 |
| $0.180 |
| $24.84 |
| 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.170 | $25.5 | 9h ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?Over | buy | 75 | $0.677 | $50.75 | 9h ago |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.660 | $49.5 | 9h ago |
 Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.510 | $38.25 | 14h ago |
| Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.578 | $23.1 | 1d ago |
 Will Chewy say "Headwind" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.620 | $37.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?No | buy | 75 | $0.280 | $21 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.680 | $51 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.590 | $44.25 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | 2d ago |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 8?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.220 | $33 | 2d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.742 | $74.25 | 5d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.036 | $7.2 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 461 | $0.769 | $354.61 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.150 | $52.5 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 461 | $0.110 | $50.71 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 2?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.420 | $8.82 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 40.52 | $0.067 | $2.73 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 58.05 | $0.120 | $6.97 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 1?Yes | buy | 72.54 | $0.121 | $8.76 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.210 | $25.2 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.420 | $50.4 | 9d ago |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | 10d ago |
 Will there be at least 3200+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 10d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 31?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.070 | $3.29 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | 11d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 28?Yes | sell | 138.7 | $0.046 | $6.36 | 12d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETDown | buy | 138.21 | $0.724 | $100 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4PM ETUp | sell | 446.79 | $0.166 | $74.27 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4PM ETUp | sell | 139.51 | $0.200 | $27.9 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4PM ETUp | buy | 586.31 | $0.512 | $300 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 18.16 | $0.240 | $4.36 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 170 | $0.219 | $37.2 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 188.17 | $0.531 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27?Down | sell | 128.2 | $0.032 | $4.1 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27?Down | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1PM ETDown | buy | 51.9 | $0.578 | $30 | 15d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 25?Yes | buy | 66.16 | $0.756 | $50 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11AM ETUp | buy | 626.63 | $0.798 | $500 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11AM ETDown | sell | 133.43 | $0.253 | $33.81 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11AM ETDown | sell | 42 | $0.170 | $7.14 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11AM ETDown | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | 15d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 358.82 | $0.510 | $183 | 20d ago |