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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | sell | 98.59 | $0.039 | $3.85 | Jun 6, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 49.99 |
| $0.020 |
| $1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.8 | $0.060 | $1.61 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 14.17 | $0.012 | $0.17 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes | sell | 47.37 | $0.029 | $1.39 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 11.95 | $0.432 | $5.16 | May 31, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.973 | $5.06 | May 31, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes | buy | 6.73 | $0.220 | $1.48 | May 28, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.225 | $1.46 | May 28, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.220 | $2.38 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 45.74 | $0.163 | $7.47 | May 27, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 21.01 | $0.680 | $14.28 | May 27, 2026 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.470 | $1.84 | May 21, 2026 |
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.947 | $1.95 | May 20, 2026 |
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.898 | $1.85 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.290 | $2.15 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.100 | $2.6 | May 7, 2026 |
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 84.12 | $0.170 | $14.3 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.370 | $2.6 | Apr 26, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.460 | $2.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | sell | 29.77 | $0.810 | $24.11 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 46.99 | $0.678 | $31.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.530 | $2.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.340 | $2.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | sell | 16.68 | $0.640 | $10.68 | Apr 22, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 38.09 | $0.991 | $37.75 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.317 | $2.6 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.317 | $1.84 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 27.97 | $0.990 | $27.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.998 | $41.92 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.881 | $41.94 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?Yes | sell | 21.04 | $0.873 | $18.37 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?Yes | sell | 59.86 | $0.876 | $52.44 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 3.68 | $0.812 | $2.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 44.17 | $0.954 | $42.14 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | buy | 9.83 | $0.220 | $2.16 | Apr 12, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 23.61 | $0.995 | $23.49 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?No | sell | 11.6 | $0.971 | $11.26 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 57.78 | $0.290 | $16.76 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?No | sell | 31.42 | $0.991 | $31.14 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?No | sell | 64.95 | $0.820 | $53.26 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | sell | 11.07 | $0.009 | $0.1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.190 | $0.45 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 7.97 | $0.591 | $4.71 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?No | sell | 25.03 | $0.991 | $24.8 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.340 | $10.88 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 27.55 | $0.160 | $4.41 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 20.85 | $0.874 | $18.22 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?Yes | sell | 23.56 | $0.548 | $12.92 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No | sell | 14.54 | $0.240 | $3.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |