Analytics
Yes is at 5.6%, down 1.9 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 29 Apr 2026.
Across the 172 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 3.9% on 12 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.6%; a month before, 5.4%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 11.5% on 4 May 2026.
$355.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $37.33K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $327.73 bought Yes and $17.08K bought No.
The largest Yes position is suntori with 4K shares; the largest No position is whitetofu with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 85.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 172 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 7.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 5.6% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uae-x-qatar-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026
| BabyGroot |
| Yes |
| 1.13K |
| Porx | No | 1.06K |
| MisTKy | No | 500 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 407.98 |
| TheSuperCheiii | Yes | 400 |
| fiter | Yes | 300 |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 244.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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