Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.830 | $0.94 | +$0.11 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.970 | $1.94 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1 |
| $0.800 |
| $0.93 |
| +$0.13 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1 | $0.730 | $0.87 | +$0.14 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.87 | $0.939 | $0.84 | +$0.02 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.94 | $0.943 | $0.77 | -$0.11 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.78 | $0.970 | $0.75 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.66 | $0.850 | $0.64 | +$0.08 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 0.65 | $0.945 | $0.62 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 0.61 | $0.966 | $0.61 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.61 | $0.880 | $0.61 | +$0.07 |
 Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | No | 0.6 | $0.909 | $0.6 | +$0.05 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 0.6 | $0.949 | $0.58 | +$0.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.68 | $0.726 | $0.58 | +$0.09 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 0.67 | $0.546 | $0.58 | +$0.21 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.61 | $0.880 | $0.53 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | No | 0.54 | $0.969 | $0.53 | +$0.01 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | No | 0.52 | $0.960 | $0.51 | +$0.01 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | No | 0.51 | $0.970 | $0.51 | +$0.01 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 0.47 | $0.952 | $0.47 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat? | No | 0.44 | $0.963 | $0.43 | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.41 | $0.964 | $0.41 | +$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.4 | $0.830 | $0.39 | +$0.06 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 0.6 | $0.430 | $0.33 | +$0.07 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 0.37 | $0.558 | $0.3 | +$0.1 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.3 | $0.860 | $0.3 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 6 |
| $0.976 |
| $5.86 |
| 19d ago |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.729 | $6.56 | 19d ago |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.952 | $9.52 | 19d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 19d ago |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | 19d ago |
 Ledger IPO before 2027?No | sell | 11 | $0.870 | $9.57 | 19d ago |
 Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 11 | $0.981 | $10.79 | 19d ago |
 Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under | sell | 11 | $0.200 | $2.2 | 19d ago |
 Obama federally charged before 2027?No | sell | 11 | $0.952 | $10.47 | 19d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | 19d ago |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.965 | $19.3 | 19d ago |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.877 | $21.04 | 19d ago |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 25 | $0.916 | $22.9 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 25 | $0.993 | $24.83 | 19d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?No | sell | 25 | $0.961 | $24.03 | 19d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.982 | $24.55 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No | sell | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No | sell | 25 | $0.991 | $24.78 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 25 | $0.987 | $24.68 | 19d ago |
 Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 26 | $0.972 | $25.27 | 19d ago |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 26 | $0.976 | $25.38 | 19d ago |
| Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No | sell | 26 | $0.998 | $25.95 | 19d ago |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.931 | $25.14 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 27 | $0.989 | $26.7 | 19d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 27 | $0.927 | $25.03 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 28 | $0.958 | $26.82 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 28 | $0.830 | $23.24 | 19d ago |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.160 | $4.64 | 19d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 35 | $0.384 | $13.44 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No | sell | 50 | $0.992 | $49.61 | 19d ago |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No | sell | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 50 | $0.947 | $47.33 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 52 | $0.881 | $45.81 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 53 | $0.834 | $44.2 | 19d ago |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.850 | $45.05 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 55 | $0.830 | $45.65 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 55 | $0.830 | $45.65 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 55 | $0.965 | $53.07 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 57 | $0.910 | $51.87 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 59 | $0.843 | $49.74 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 59 | $0.943 | $55.64 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 79 | $0.690 | $54.51 | 19d ago |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.180 | $14.76 | 19d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 114 | $0.310 | $35.34 | 19d ago |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians | sell | 119 | $0.400 | $47.6 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 133 | $0.413 | $54.93 | 19d ago |