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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 18.18 |
| $0.550 |
| $10 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 288.86 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.046 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 196.01 | $0.051 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 51.8 | $0.097 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 47.71 | $0.105 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.088 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 56.07 | $0.500 | $28.04 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?Yes | buy | 9.67 | $0.103 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?Yes | buy | 41.93 | $0.095 | $4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.082 | $1.65 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.022 | $1.85 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 62.74 | $0.478 | $30 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.085 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 162.15 | $0.031 | $5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2PM ETDown | sell | 3.92 | $0.310 | $1.22 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.216 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.011 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |