Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81%. Yes opened at 30% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 18 Nov 2025, the highest close was 81% on 18 Nov 2025 and the lowest 30% on 14 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 74% on 16 Nov 2025. $9.33M traded over the market's life.
536 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 18 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 30.0% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 81.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NiHaoFineShyt | No | 240.48K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 235.16K |
| GM. | No | 182.5K |
| slappy99 | No | 138.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-gemini-3pt0-be-released
| 10050411 | No | 114.97K |
| jdkdkdj | No | 54.95K |
| ufufukyfy | No | 47.04K |
| Bigbooy | No | 37.84K |
| AcidHunter | No | 35.69K |
| Initialc | No | 33.31K |
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