Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.48 | $0.961 | $2.38 | +$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.961 | $2.38 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.07 |
| $0.966 |
| $2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.957 | $2.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.751 | $1.45 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.988 | $1.91 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No | sell | 2.96 | $0.940 | $2.78 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.989 | $2.93 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be greater than 62%?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.937 | $2.93 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be greater than 62%?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.998 | $3.13 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 25 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.989 | $3.09 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.971 | $3.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.967 | $3.09 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Megaquake by January 31?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.993 | $3.07 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.996 | $3.05 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.993 | $3.03 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Do Kwon be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.993 | $3.01 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 3?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.949 | $2.86 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.993 | $2.86 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.996 | $2.87 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?No | sell | 2.96 | $0.968 | $2.87 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.996 | $2.95 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.997 | $2.94 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.965 | $2.94 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.995 | $3.04 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.910 | $2.77 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | buy | 2.77 | $0.996 | $2.76 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.975 | $2.11 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.990 | $6.53 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.968 | $7.84 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.995 | $5.27 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.994 | $3.49 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.990 | $2.9 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.997 | $1.05 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 14.52K | $0.001 | $14.52 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 16.4K | $0.001 | $16.4 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 16.4K | $0.001 | $16.4 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?Yes | buy | 26.22K | $0.001 | $26.22 | Dec 15, 2024 |