Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 978 | $0.660 | $894.87 | +$249.39 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will North West release an album by December 31?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.770 | $13.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 |
| Anthropic |
| 385 |
| $0.600 |
| $362.09 |
| +$131.09 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 549 | $0.340 | $32.67 | -$153.99 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | Yes | 53 | $0.340 | $2.23 | -$15.79 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 35.24 | $0.570 | $0.9 | -$19.19 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.380 | $0.51 | +$0.13 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 0.72 | $0.294 | $0.22 | +$0.01 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.14 | $0.880 | $0.13 | +$0.01 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.81 | $0.875 | $0.12 | -$0.59 |
| sell |
| 905 |
| $0.510 |
| $461.55 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 89 | $0.690 | $61.41 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 292 | $0.680 | $198.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 269 | $0.680 | $182.92 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 284 | $0.680 | $193.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 965 | $0.590 | $569.35 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 897 | $0.880 | $789.36 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 9 | $0.590 | $5.31 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 58 | $0.590 | $34.22 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 60 | $0.590 | $35.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 86 | $0.590 | $50.74 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 125 | $0.590 | $73.75 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 198 | $0.590 | $116.82 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 178 | $0.590 | $105.02 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 127 | $0.590 | $74.93 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)No | buy | 710 | $0.380 | $269.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No | sell | 306 | $0.914 | $279.68 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?No | sell | 269 | $0.400 | $107.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 572 | $0.750 | $429 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 934 | $0.650 | $607.1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 572 | $0.780 | $446.16 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?No | sell | 929 | $0.032 | $29.73 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.074 | $0.96 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?No | sell | 227 | $0.750 | $170.25 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?No | sell | 322 | $0.750 | $241.5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?No | buy | 549 | $0.750 | $411.75 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?No | buy | 929 | $0.099 | $91.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No | sell | 524 | $0.110 | $57.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | sell | 544 | $0.660 | $359.04 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | buy | 544 | $0.670 | $364.48 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 524 | $0.110 | $57.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 893 | $0.590 | $526.87 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?No | buy | 130 | $0.280 | $36.4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 978 | $0.660 | $645.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?No | buy | 269 | $0.690 | $185.61 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.170 | $1.36 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?No | sell | 814 | $0.840 | $683.76 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.230 | $8.51 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 152 | $0.670 | $101.84 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)No | buy | 1.45K | $0.310 | $449.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 850 | $0.600 | $510 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?No | buy | 818 | $0.470 | $384.46 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 850 | $0.650 | $552.5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No | buy | 306 | $0.790 | $241.74 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No | sell | 260 | $0.120 | $31.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No | sell | 785 | $0.120 | $94.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No | buy | 523 | $0.490 | $256.27 | Mar 20, 2026 |