Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 20% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 11 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 10.5% on 1 Jun 2026. $67.79K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 20.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 675 |
| TBill1 | Yes | 484.93 |
| Thorny-Hill | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 214.58 |
| Gaga82 | Yes | 200 |
| Cobalt Horizon 832A | Yes | 193.06 |
| Punctual-Toaster | Yes | 142.86 |
| Ofekjan98 | Yes | 127.13 |
| Broken-Cashew | Yes | 126.27 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
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