Latest trade
Jun 29, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:18 PM UTC.
Analytics
stern2779 is down $388.83 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 45 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 29, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:18 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Jan 11, 2026 UTC to Jun 29, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 27.97 | $0.715 | $26.83 | +$6.83 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 07:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 16:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 16:18 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 07:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $317.21 and losing ones cost $670.59 across 45 settled positions. 53.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $43.74 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $475 on “Maduro out by March 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 29 Jun 2026. It has traded 53 markets. Its open positions are worth $53.47 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 24.19 |
| $0.413 |
| $14.39 |
| +$4.39 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 127.5 | $0.157 | $5.74 | -$14.26 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 101.01 | $0.198 | $3.69 | -$16.31 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.360 | $1.44 | -$18.56 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 197.95 | $0.153 | $1.39 | -$28.86 |
| buy |
| 37.04 |
| $0.540 |
| $20 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.490 | $8.82 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.198 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes | buy | 23.33 | $0.300 | $7 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.060 | $1.15 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 30.4 | $0.329 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Venezuela make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Yes | buy | 29.23 | $0.650 | $19 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAUSA | buy | 19.46 | $0.560 | $10.9 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.89 | $0.470 | $7 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Patriots | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 4.63 | $0.440 | $2.04 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 3.57 | $0.440 | $1.57 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 1.79 | $0.440 | $0.79 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.150 | $5.25 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Bills vs. BroncosBroncos | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.105 | $9.45 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.989 | $16.48 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | sell | 15.36 | $0.720 | $11.06 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 15.37 | $0.325 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bills vs. JaguarsJaguars | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| 49ers vs. Eagles49ers | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Packers vs. BearsBears | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.