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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.988 |
| $1 |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 DAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 16?Up | buy | 360 | $0.500 | $180 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.989 | $1.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.984 | $5.12 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 13.26 | $0.949 | $12.58 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 13.26 | $0.950 | $12.6 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.59K | $0.371 | $1.33K | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.644 | $1.33K | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.49 | $0.900 | $4.94 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 7.86 | $0.880 | $6.92 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.642 | $1.32K | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 30.6 | $0.978 | $29.93 | Oct 15, 2024 |