Analytics
whumpa is down $9K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 1.5K | $0.572 | $1.07K | +$215 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 18:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 20:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 20:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.61K and losing ones cost $9.45K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.05K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.37K on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?” (Yes).
It has traded 728 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.5K across 129 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 354.97 |
| $0.468 |
| $329.23 |
| +$163.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 849.3 | $0.466 | $293.01 | -$102.75 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 287.5 | $0.707 | $240.06 | +$36.81 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 649.99 | $0.492 | $224.24 | -$95.34 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 639.25 | $0.478 | $220.54 | -$85.39 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 210 | $0.641 | $195.3 | +$60.65 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 188.76 | $0.668 | $185.17 | +$58.98 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 253 | $0.598 | $178.37 | +$26.95 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 279.98 | $0.561 | $160.99 | +$3.9 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 200 | $0.799 | $147 | -$12.75 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 152.79 | $0.757 | $135.22 | +$19.6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 508.98 | $0.303 | $129.79 | -$24.32 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 130 | $0.804 | $127.53 | +$23.03 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 149.8 | $0.892 | $125.98 | -$7.65 |
 Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 110.63 | $0.604 | $106.26 | +$39.44 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 180 | $0.562 | $103.5 | +$2.3 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 120 | $0.855 | $101.4 | -$1.2 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 190 | $0.530 | $96.9 | -$3.8 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 358.57 | $0.346 | $95.02 | -$29.22 |
 Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | No | 90 | $0.787 | $83.21 | +$12.34 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1.88K | $0.528 | $76.17 | -$916.8 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 2.48K | $0.689 | $75.65 | -$1.63K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 997.99 | $0.137 | $74.85 | -$62.21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 75 | $0.848 | $70.13 | +$6.5 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
