Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 215.75 | $0.628 | $135.49 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 99.99 |
| $0.700 |
| $69.99 |
| Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 17.03 | $0.900 | $15.33 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick Monday or later?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | sell | 16.84 | $0.875 | $14.74 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.84 | $0.920 | $15.49 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.630 | $9.45 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?No | buy | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Solana above $180 on August 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.210 | $3.15 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 43.24 | $0.690 | $29.84 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $150m and $170m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 61.41 | $0.008 | $0.49 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Democratic Blitz primary?Yes | buy | 8.94 | $0.670 | $5.99 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden be sitting during dropout speech?No | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden be sitting during dropout speech?No | buy | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign during his speech today?No | sell | 9.82 | $0.950 | $9.33 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign during his speech today?No | buy | 9.82 | $0.882 | $8.66 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign during his speech today?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.078 | $8.66 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 31.21 | $0.680 | $21.22 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign during his speech today?Yes | buy | 18.97 | $0.037 | $0.7 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 ActBlue raises over $14.5b by July 31?No | sell | 28.15 | $0.900 | $25.34 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Trump’s latest TikTok >30m views by Friday?No | buy | 24.37 | $0.080 | $1.95 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Biden seen in public Wednesday?Yes | sell | 10.25 | $0.190 | $1.95 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Biden seen in public Wednesday?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.250 | $2.56 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Trump’s latest TikTok >30m views by Friday?No | sell | 36.63 | $0.070 | $2.56 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Trump’s latest TikTok >30m views by Friday?No | buy | 6.63 | $0.140 | $0.93 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Trump’s latest TikTok >30m views by Friday?No | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Trump’s latest TikTok >30m views by Friday?No | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Democratic ticket: Male President + Female VPNo | sell | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| ActBlue raises over $14.5b by July 31?No | buy | 28.15 | $0.800 | $22.52 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 1,000+ Delta flight cancelations today?No | sell | 23.14 | $0.973 | $22.52 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| 1,000+ Delta flight cancelations today?No | buy | 23.14 | $0.870 | $20.13 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday?Yes | sell | 20.22 | $0.996 | $20.14 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 20.22 | $0.640 | $12.94 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Democratic ticket: Female President + Male VP?Yes | sell | 14.61 | $0.860 | $12.56 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Trump x Biden golf announced before August?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.003 | $0.38 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Democratic ticket: Female President + Male VP?Yes | buy | 14.61 | $0.800 | $11.69 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 AOC endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?No | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden drop out on July 21?Yes | sell | 24.21 | $0.999 | $24.19 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?No | buy | 47.61 | $0.860 | $40.94 | Jul 21, 2024 |