Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 34% on 12 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2024 to 2 Aug 2024, the highest close was 77% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 56 points up, to 77% on 19 Jul 2024. $345.85K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 3, 4:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 12 Jul 2024 – 2 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | 34.0% |
| 2 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| babboooooon | Yes | 2.88K |
| jhindson | Yes | 329.41 |
| Rude-First | Yes | 250 |
| karenezn | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democrats announce they will hold a blitz primary for the 2024 US Presidential Election, by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A blitz primary is defined as Joe Biden withdrawing from the race, and multiple candidates are given the chance to become the Democratic nominee for President of the United States in an open field. If it is widely reported that a mini/blitz primary will officially occur, this market will resolve to "Yes". It is only necessary that the primary be officially announced by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the primary occurs after. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic Party, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-blitz-primary
| phylos | Yes | 53.03 |
| Conaway | Yes | 8.94 |
| Zylo | Yes | 8.51 |
| 80100220 | Yes | 1.25 |
| asi-356 | No | 0.09 |
| Starrism | No | 0.06 |
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