Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 27% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 31% on 21 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 7% on 22 Jul 2024. $168.78K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 27.0% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.97K |
| Ray69 | Yes | 454.55 |
| hana | Yes | 100 |
| Recapitated | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of a male presidential nominee and a female male vice-presidential nominee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://www.democrats.org. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gender-of-the-democratic-ticket
| asi-356 | No | 0.02 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
