Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 43.4%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 50% on 1 Jun 2024 and the lowest 9% on 2 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 2 Jun 2024. $1.73M traded over the market's life.
127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 4:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 1 Jun 2024 – 6 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2024 | 50.0% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 43.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 823.03K |
| Americoalfonzo2903 | No | 63.65K |
| drslanger | No | 14.37K |
The 2024 Venezuela presidential election is scheduled to take place on July 28, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edmundo González wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/venezuela-election-winner
| No |
| 4.32K |
| TheTardOfHere | Yes | 1.03K |
| Polyninja | Yes | 1K |
| polymarketchange | Yes | 490.73 |
| Edramirez | Yes | 268.97 |
| Updoge | No | 100 |
| Loud-Pledge | Yes | 89.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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