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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 770 | $0.261 | $404.25 | +$203.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.024 | $0.12 | Jul 5, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 770 |
| $0.606 |
| $358.05 |
| -$108.57 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 330 | $0.590 | $222.75 | +$28.05 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 190 | $0.515 | $173.85 | +$76.01 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 330 | $0.202 | $100.65 | +$33.92 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.373 | $73.5 | +$17.5 |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.176 | $45 | +$18.65 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | Yes | 65 | $0.071 | $43.94 | +$39.32 |
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 45 | $0.586 | $39.83 | +$13.48 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 95 | $0.213 | $39.71 | +$19.44 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.488 | $38.15 | +$4 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 80 | $0.107 | $37.2 | +$28.65 |
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 105 | $0.344 | $35.7 | -$0.4 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 75 | $0.078 | $33.9 | +$28.07 |
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | Yes | 65 | $0.323 | $33.67 | +$12.65 |
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | Yes | 65 | $0.217 | $29.58 | +$15.47 |
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 105 | $0.290 | $26.25 | -$4.25 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 55 | $0.370 | $23.38 | +$3.03 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.695 | $22.98 | -$1.35 |
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 105 | $0.124 | $22.94 | +$9.88 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 95 | $0.141 | $22.42 | +$9.02 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 55 | $0.250 | $21.73 | +$7.98 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 95 | $0.299 | $21.19 | -$7.19 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.265 | $19.5 | -$20.28 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? | Yes | 65 | $0.186 | $17.75 | +$5.64 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.064 |
| $0.32 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.061 | $0.31 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.836 | $4.18 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.024 | $0.12 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.064 | $0.32 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.022 | $0.11 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.125 | $0.62 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.018 | $0.09 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.129 | $0.65 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.362 | $1.81 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.027 | $0.14 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.226 | $1.13 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.017 | $0.09 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.022 | $0.11 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.039 | $0.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.226 | $1.13 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.123 | $0.61 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.356 | $1.78 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.121 | $0.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |