Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 31.24 | $0.420 | $13.12 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.1 |
| $0.930 |
| $13.11 |
| Sep 28, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11PM ETUp | buy | 18.27 | $0.510 | $9.32 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 13.79 | $0.180 | $2.48 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?Down | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?No | sell | 19.78 | $0.999 | $19.76 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.050 | $2.08 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.830 | $16.42 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Yes | buy | 23.92 | $0.418 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on July 16?Yes | buy | 27.41 | $0.750 | $20.56 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 9?No | buy | 20.56 | $0.930 | $19.12 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 28.12 | $0.820 | $23.06 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | sell | 3.13 | $0.060 | $0.19 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 14.11 | $0.760 | $10.72 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 12.54 | $0.399 | $5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.319 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 228.5Over | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 26.49 | $0.820 | $21.72 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 26.49 | $0.550 | $14.57 | May 14, 2025 |
 Sperm Race: Tristan (USC) vs Asher (UCLA)Tristan (USC) | buy | 14.57 | $0.490 | $7.14 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 11.52 | $0.620 | $7.14 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 11.53 | $0.720 | $8.3 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.890 | $7.38 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.68 | $0.540 | $7.39 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.68 | $0.620 | $8.48 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Super Bowl LIX WinnerEagles | buy | 8 | $0.770 | $6.16 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.37 | $0.640 | $6.64 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.38 | $0.650 | $6.75 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?No | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump save TikTok in first week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?No | sell | 10.83 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?No | buy | 10.83 | $0.560 | $6.06 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.999 | $6.06 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.780 | $4.73 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.800 | $4.74 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.670 | $3.97 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | sell | 8.13 | $0.070 | $0.57 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by January 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.220 | $3.3 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.410 | $0.01 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.560 | $8.4 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?Yes | buy | 43.8 | $0.560 | $24.53 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 49.65 | $0.540 | $26.81 | Dec 25, 2024 |