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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 2.82 | $0.630 | $1.78 | Apr 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.82 |
| $0.390 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.690 | $1.06 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.710 | $1.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.740 | $1.12 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | sell | 2.07 | $0.340 | $0.7 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.730 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.610 | $0.9 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.650 | $1.07 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.001 | $0 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.670 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.340 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.681 | $1.15 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.641 | $1.06 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.660 | $1.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.640 | $1.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.570 | $1.09 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 1.9 | $0.580 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.570 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.720 | $1.09 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.720 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.610 | $1.03 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.630 | $1.54 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.720 | $1.25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.590 | $1.3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.480 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.340 | $1.1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.310 | $1.06 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 3.86 | $0.570 | $2.2 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.580 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.550 | $1.08 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.720 | $1.13 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.540 | $1.06 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |