Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 71%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 2 Dec 2025, the highest close was 75.5% on 20 Nov 2025 and the lowest 52.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 62.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $741.78K traded over the market's life.
177 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 2 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 52.5% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | 71.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ciro2 | No | 70.31K |
| jaja5050 | No | 16.91K |
| lineth | No | 11.03K |
| goodnightcrawler | No | 10.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-zohran-mamdani-win-by-over-9
| r4fdhvj4nv | No | 8.29K |
| Nothanks | No | 4.37K |
| QuietOutcome | No | 4.3K |
| whjsnebd | No | 3.97K |
| god2 | No | 3.81K |
| Growing-Politics | No | 3.1K |
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