Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Resolved

$80k, settled May 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.0M

Resolved

$80k

Settled

May 4, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved $80k on 4 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had $80k at 89%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 4 May 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 3 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 65% on 26 Feb 2026. $1.97M traded over the market's life.

506 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 5, 4:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 4 May 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
pabon	$60k	33.88K
Pnpnpnpn	$60k	29.13K
Egozic86	$60k	26.93K

10 of 506 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.