Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 1:41 AM UTC.
Analytics
Pointed-Smoking is down $11.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 1:41 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 41 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Sep 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 7.91 | $0.758 | $7.36 | +$1.36 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 11h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 21:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
34 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 01:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 01:41 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 21:08 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $59.86 and losing ones cost $10.98 across the latest 50 settled positions. 74% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.64 on “Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.79 on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 156 markets. Its open positions are worth $37.89 across 34 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 5.3 |
| $0.138 |
| $2.78 |
| +$2.05 |
 Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | Yes | 5.84 | $0.342 | $2.51 | +$0.51 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 3.86 | $0.518 | $2.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Union Berlin be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | Yes | 5.2 | $0.385 | $1.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will TSG Hoffenheim be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1.23 | $0.410 | $0.94 | +$0.44 |
| Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 5.46 | $0.275 | $0.9 | -$0.6 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | Yes | 14.49 | $0.069 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
| Will Michael Olise (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | Yes | 11.24 | $0.089 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
| buy |
| 1.23 |
| $0.810 |
| $1 |
| 11h ago |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 13h ago |
| Will Union Berlin be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 13h ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1.95 | $0.514 | $1 | 13h ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | 13h ago |
 Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 13h ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.720 | $1.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.317 | $1.27 | 2d ago |
 Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.5 | $0.050 | $0.43 | 6d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.629 | $0.76 | 6d ago |
| Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Union Berlin be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.650 | $1.02 | 10d ago |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Exact Score: Greece 0 - 0 Germany?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Exact Score: Greece 1 - 2 Germany?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Exact Score: Greece 1 - 3 Germany?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.26 | $0.180 | $0.41 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2 | $0.330 | $0.66 | 26d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michael Olise (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will TSG Hoffenheim be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will VfB Stuttgart be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5Over | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.230 | $0.48 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.029 | $0.09 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.999 | $1.92 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.