Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:27 PM UTC.
Analytics
obsobs is down $31.28 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 38 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:27 PM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Jun 28, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 217.65 | $0.184 | $40.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 2d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 20:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 15:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 15:27 UTC
polymarket positions
39 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 20:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $442.4 and losing ones cost $108.8 across 38 settled positions. 73.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $94.24 on “Paris curfew by October 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $19.85 on “Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 69 markets. Its open positions are worth $85.04 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 68.97 |
| $0.290 |
| $18.97 |
| -$1.03 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 169.49 | $0.118 | $11.61 | -$8.39 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.450 | $7.89 | -$2.11 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 147.06 | $0.170 | $3.31 | -$21.69 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.240 | $3 | -$17 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.170 |
| $5 |
| 2d ago |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 2d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | 4d ago |
 Paris curfew by October 31?Yes | sell | 116.83 | $0.984 | $114.97 | 4d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 31?Yes | buy | 116.83 | $0.171 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.118 | $20 | 10d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 72.2 | $0.824 | $59.48 | 19d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 142.63 | $0.140 | $20 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 36.2 | $0.552 | $20 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 45.43 | $0.630 | $28.62 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 43.52 | $0.750 | $32.64 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 29.85 | $0.930 | $27.76 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 43.53 | $0.459 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 39.21 | $0.999 | $39.17 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.765 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 24.45 | $0.409 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 24.21 | $0.413 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | sell | 74.62 | $0.460 | $34.33 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 74.63 | $0.268 | $20 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.012 | $0.29 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.810 | $18.83 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes | sell | 32.38 | $0.028 | $0.91 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 32.38 | $0.463 | $15 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "Euro" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 25.31 | $0.950 | $24.04 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 24.14 | $0.999 | $24.12 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "Birthday" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 13.44 | $0.996 | $13.39 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 24.14 | $0.828 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "Birthday" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 13.45 | $0.744 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the announcers say "Euro" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 34.63 | $0.577 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.164 | $9.65 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 91.74 | $0.017 | $1.56 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.860 | $29.65 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | sell | 46.69 | $0.950 | $44.36 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.170 | $25 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.590 | $19.66 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.900 | $59.99 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.