Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.020 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 891.28 |
| $0.910 |
| $811.06 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 757.87 | $0.708 | $536.75 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.680 | $74.8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 23.41 | $0.680 | $15.92 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.082 | $9.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.22K | $0.038 | $122.34 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Megaquake by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?Yes | buy | 314.84 | $0.032 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 117.42 | $0.043 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.07 | $0.988 | $73.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 88.23 | $0.984 | $86.83 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 210.52 | $0.985 | $207.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.340 | $30 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.190 | $40 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 238.09 | $0.084 | $20 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.61 | $0.043 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 288.33 | $0.150 | $43.25 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.85K | $0.003 | $14.54 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 107.34 | $0.047 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 412.12 | $0.049 | $20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.85K | $0.012 | $60 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.260 | $30 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.37 | $0.270 | $14.14 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.012 | $12.24 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.007 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 321.12 | $0.016 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.039 | $100 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.014 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Megaquake by January 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Megaquake by December 31?Yes | buy | 252.91 | $0.040 | $10 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Megaquake by December 31?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionNo | buy | 73.57 | $0.136 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Megaquake by December 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Megaquake by November 30?Yes | buy | 574.45 | $0.119 | $68.39 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Megaquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 373.12 | $0.027 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Megaquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 110.79 | $0.036 | $4 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Megaquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 588.8 | $0.051 | $30 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Megaquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 113.2 | $0.053 | $6 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Megaquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 100.84 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 22, 2025 |