Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 22% on 10 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 22% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 6.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $54.91K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 22.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Blond-Component-Foray | Yes | 664.91 |
| Chief-Remark | Yes | 421.05 |
| JuiceHunter69 | Yes | 295.18 |
| ttj01 | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei visits Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "visit" is defined as Ali Khamenei physically entering the terrestrial territory of Russia in a voluntary capacity. Whether or not Ali Khamenei enters Russian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. Entering Russia requires physically entering sovereign Russian territory, including all Russian federal subjects and territories. Areas under Russian control but not under Russian sovereignty (e.g., Crimea) do not count. Russian airspace, Russian embassies/consulates abroad, and international zones do not constitute Russian sovereign territory. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/khamenei-visits-russia-by
| ssgeos | Yes | 200 |
| Ancient-East | Yes | 188.68 |
| Nutritious-Pannier | Yes | 183.47 |
| Pigu | Yes | 179.99 |
| hal2026hal-fg | Yes | 157.44 |
| Present-Character | Yes | 155.95 |
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