Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $11.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.238 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 18.18 |
| $0.550 |
| $1.36 |
| -$8.64 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | Yes | 84.73 | $0.118 | $0.93 | -$9.07 |
| buy |
| 68.24 |
| $0.147 |
| $10 |
| Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | buy | 247.93 | $0.040 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.22 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.54 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.48 | $0.014 | $0.92 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Yes | buy | 84.73 | $0.118 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.011 | $11.76 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 232.77 | $0.215 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.590 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.335 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.551 | $14.89 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | sell | 100.19 | $0.117 | $11.76 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.53K | $0.001 | $3.01 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 320.02 | $0.022 | $7.19 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.040 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 74.07 | $0.675 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 42.56 | $0.585 | $24.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.022 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.094 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 528.02 | $0.189 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 664.91 | $0.150 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 104.2 | $0.480 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 100.19 | $0.499 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 467.53 | $0.214 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.062 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 154.94 | $0.065 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |