Analytics
Royal Falcon 589E is down $38.8 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 45 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 200 | $0.733 | $140.9 | -$5.7 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 11:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
37 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 15:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 15:35 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 11:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $438.26 and losing ones cost $476.93 across 45 settled positions. 35.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $97.6 on “Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $102.87 on “Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 23 markets. Its open positions are worth $862.88 across 37 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 186.88 |
| $0.757 |
| $138.39 |
| -$3.08 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | No | 119 | $0.840 | $95.8 | -$4.17 |
 Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 110 | $0.660 | $72.05 | -$0.55 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%? | No | 120 | $0.620 | $65.4 | -$9 |
 Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 150 | $0.330 | $55.5 | +$6 |
 Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? | Yes | 100 | $0.440 | $42 | -$2 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.874 | $34.24 | -$0.72 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 40 | $0.720 | $29.4 | +$0.6 |
 Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 37 | $0.600 | $22.76 | +$0.56 |
 Will J.K. Dobbins have 874.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 40 | $0.590 | $22.4 | -$1.2 |
 Will Sunderland finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? | No | 40 | $0.610 | $22.4 | -$2 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.683 | $18.66 | -$8.66 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | No | 39 | $0.636 | $17.76 | -$7.04 |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 24? | Yes | 40 | $0.340 | $13 | -$0.6 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.680 | $12.9 | -$27.9 |
 Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M? | No | 71 | $0.310 | $11.36 | -$10.65 |
 Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | Yes | 13.15 | $0.810 | $10.26 | -$0.39 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September? | Yes | 18.58 | $0.480 | $8.45 | -$0.46 |
 Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 23.92 | $0.300 | $7.53 | +$0.36 |
 Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.210 | $6 | -$2.4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24? | No | 7.41 | $0.740 | $5.37 | -$0.11 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 20 | $0.220 | $3.66 | -$0.74 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $3.6 | -$2.4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 23? | No | 0.91 | $0.680 | $0.91 | +$0.29 |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
