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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.150 | $0.94 | Oct 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $1 |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.140 | $0.41 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.540 | $0.64 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.720 | $0.76 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.810 | $0.86 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | sell | 1.19 | $0.750 | $0.89 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.130 | $0.87 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will General Motors (GM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.840 | $0.89 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.650 | $0.94 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.780 | $0.96 | Oct 21, 2025 |
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.790 | $0.95 | Oct 21, 2025 |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)CTBC Flying Oyster | sell | 3.7 | $0.260 | $0.96 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.880 | $0.98 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.890 | $0.97 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.810 | $0.98 | Oct 21, 2025 |
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)T1 | sell | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.98 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.98 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.946 | $0.99 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.830 | $0.97 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.460 | $0.86 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.961 | $1.01 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.851 | $0.95 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.955 | $1.01 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.870 | $1.01 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.860 | $1.02 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.830 | $1.04 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.650 | $1.08 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.961 | $1.18 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.420 | $1.2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.750 | $1.76 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.800 | $1.83 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.849 | $1.94 | Oct 21, 2025 |
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)Gen.G | sell | 2.56 | $0.790 | $2.02 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.934 | $2.05 | Oct 21, 2025 |
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.879 | $2.09 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.920 | $2.12 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.780 | $2.05 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.51 | $0.920 | $2.31 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.700 | $2.8 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.981 | $3.09 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 4.56 | $0.810 | $3.69 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.750 | $3.95 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.940 | $4.54 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by October 31?No | sell | 6.91 | $0.991 | $6.85 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?No | sell | 9.66 | $0.870 | $8.4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |