Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 51% on 26 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 84% on 4 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 75 points down, to 7.5% on 15 Oct 2025. $478.47K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Sep 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2025 | 51.0% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hindu | Yes | 39.93K |
| seyo | Yes | 4.7K |
| edge-men | Yes | 3.12K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 887 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between September 25 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/park-sung-jae-in-jail-by-october-31
| hasobang | Yes | 369.3 |
| Erutan | Yes | 200.24 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 133 |
| QWUWU | Yes | 100 |
| SneakySquids | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 93.88 |
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