
Resolved Yes on 31 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 31 Oct 2025, the highest close was 100% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 5% on 4 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 64% on 6 Oct 2025. $1.15M traded over the market's life.
325 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 31 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 11.0% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI’s Grokipedia is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If xAI releases a product that is not explicitly named “Grokipedia” but is clearly described and recognized in official announcements as an AI-powered knowledge base or encyclopedia-style product, this market will also resolve to "Yes." If Grokipedia is released as an embedded feature inside Grok or other xAI products, it will still qualify. For this market, an announcement alone will not suffice. Grokipedia must actually be released and publicly accessible by the deadline. Once Grokipedia is released in a qualifying manner, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grokipedia must be launched and made publicly accessible in at least one region. Access may be free or paid, as long as it is available to any member of the public. Open beta or rolling waitlists qualify, but closed betas, private testers, enterprise-only releases, or invite-only cohorts do not. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/grokipedia-released-by
| aar8888 | No | 5K |
| HaiLung | No | 5K |
| pillusch | No | 5K |
| Bikepu | No | 5K |
| Unripe-Spark | No | 4.05K |
| starone | No | 4K |
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