Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.14 |
| $0.690 |
| $7 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No | buy | 35.87 | $0.920 | $33 | May 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 69.56 | $0.380 | $26.43 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.820 | $40 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.45 | $0.971 | $15 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?No | buy | 12.88 | $0.854 | $11 | May 21, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.26 | $0.920 | $26 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?Yes | buy | 15.12 | $0.860 | $13 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 69.57 | $0.460 | $32 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | May 9, 2026 |
 BitBoy convicted?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.885 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 47.19 | $0.848 | $40 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)Vitality | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.21 | $0.735 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 21.67 | $0.923 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.960 | $12 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 11.05 | $0.905 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 81.26 | $0.730 | $59.32 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | sell | 68.75 | $0.850 | $58.44 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 81.98 | $0.950 | $77.88 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 July 28–August 3?No | buy | 23 | $0.970 | $22.32 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 150.94 | $0.331 | $50 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | buy | 68.75 | $0.800 | $55 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?No | sell | 117.08 | $0.940 | $110.06 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?No | buy | 117.07 | $0.820 | $96 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 81.98 | $0.671 | $55 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 102.44 | $0.630 | $64.54 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 13.75 | $0.800 | $11 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?Yes | buy | 13.1 | $0.840 | $11 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in April?No | buy | 13.74 | $0.946 | $13 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 11–18?No | buy | 14.3 | $0.979 | $14 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?No | buy | 12.49 | $0.961 | $12 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.984 | $15 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.960 | $16 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 20.72 | $0.998 | $20.68 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 31.29 | $0.671 | $21 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Pelicans vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies | buy | 16.47 | $0.850 | $14 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No | buy | 16.29 | $0.982 | $16 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 20.73 | $0.965 | $20 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Everton win on 2024-12-14?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Nuggets vs. WizardsNuggets | buy | 49.44 | $0.890 | $44 | Dec 7, 2024 |