Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomEthereum Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 17% on 19 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 34% on 21 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 34% on 21 Jul 2025. $1.34M traded over the market's life.

116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:52 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
rocketpoop	Yes	65.98K
Blond-Classmate	Yes	45.35K
stonksgoup	Yes	17.99K
bombo	Yes	12.32K

10 of 116 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between July 1, 2025, 00:00 and July 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $4,200.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.