Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 70% on 26 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 75.5% on 28 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 28 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 49% on 29 Oct 2025. $34.89M traded over the market's life.
551 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 29, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 26 Oct 2025 – 28 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | 70.0% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Romanson00 | Yes | 487.03K |
| tianqi01 | Yes | 309.89K |
| po888 | Yes | 287.26K |
| dudkaeth | Yes | 150K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/monad-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| tkl115 | Yes | 126.79K |
| 0x0024c2 | Yes | 114.94K |
| Kat2 | Yes | 100K |
| JasonLiu7 | Yes | 86.49K |
| Libert1234pos | Yes | 77.54K |
| zenosshaw | Yes | 70.13K |
