Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 30% on 27 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 370 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2025 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 79% on 17 Jul 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 65.1% on 20 Feb 2026. $836.62K traded over the market's life.
598 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 370 points, 27 Mar 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2025 | 30.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Raven B28C | Yes | 2.37K |
| Amber Horizon BABD | Yes | 2.1K |
| steamrolling | Yes | 2K |
BitBoy was recently arrested due to a warrant issued for threatening communications he sent to a Judge. You can read more about that here: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22059661159362 This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitBoy (Ben Armstrong) is convicted of any charges related to the emails he sent to Judge Kimberly Childs, by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Convictions must be for criminal charges. If the case is completely dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation occurs in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case. The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitboy-convicted
| zcedrick | Yes | 1.4K |
| Solar Maven B091 | Yes | 859.98 |
| Studious-Businessman | Yes | 764.29 |
| Azure Tide 0074 | Yes | 570.68 |
| Keen Atlas 7CA5 | Yes | 474.18 |
| Solar Pioneer 3297 | Yes | 443.98 |
| Rapid Tide A0F0 | Yes | 431.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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