Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:18 AM UTC.
Analytics
Emerald Raven 8F5A has made $97.79K on Polymarket, #1,973 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:18 AM UTC.
$45.32 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 13 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Oct 6, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 21.75K | $0.869 | $20.01K | +$1.12K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.350 | $1.39 | 1d ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 22:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
30 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:18 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 17:08 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $180.39K and losing ones cost $79.16K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $18.04K on “US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $11.89K on “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?” (No).
It first traded on 12 Jan 2026 and most recently on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 437 markets. Its open positions are worth $67.65K across 30 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 16.13K |
| $0.663 |
| $15.24K |
| +$4.55K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 9.76K | $0.349 | $5.95K | +$2.55K |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 7.21K | $0.746 | $5.55K | +$173.33 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 5.56K | $0.800 | $5.08K | +$638.83 |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4.36K | $0.960 | $4.34K | +$161.93 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.4K | $0.707 | $2.32K | +$623.62 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 11.11K | $0.200 | $1.61K | -$611.1 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 3.33K | $0.400 | $1.47K | +$133.32 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 9.01K | $0.263 | $1.22K | -$1.16K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 6.86K | $0.217 | $1.2K | -$289.93 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 853.27 | $0.370 | $776.47 | +$460.77 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.62K | $0.160 | $759 | -$140.56 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 2.94K | $0.195 | $689.82 | +$116.39 |
 Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 350.33 | $0.824 | $309.52 | +$20.94 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 4.22K | $0.334 | $234.38 | -$1.17K |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.420 | $188.87 | -$744.37 |
 Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5.56K | $0.049 | $163.87 | -$108.32 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 11.29K | $0.060 | $129.8 | -$547.43 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 942.06 | $0.200 | $98.92 | -$89.5 |
 Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | No | 81.1 | $0.950 | $81.06 | +$4.01 |
 Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 58.14 | $0.857 | $57.82 | +$8 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 57.45 | $0.890 | $51.04 | -$0.09 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.180 | $49.24 | -$327.9 |
 Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 158.37 | $0.084 | $34.21 | +$20.95 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.350 |
| $7 |
| 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.55 | $0.350 | $5.44 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.180 | $2.2 | 2d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 993.04 | $0.180 | $178.75 | 2d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.180 | $196.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 484.72 | $0.011 | $5.28 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 4.38K | $0.570 | $2.5K | 5d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?No | buy | 888 | $0.220 | $195.36 | 6d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Yes | sell | 487.45 | $0.889 | $433.35 | 10d ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Yes | sell | 490.17 | $0.889 | $435.76 | 10d ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Yes | sell | 120.99 | $0.889 | $107.56 | 10d ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Yes | sell | 12.37 | $0.889 | $11 | 10d ago |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC | buy | 439.48 | $0.159 | $69.88 | 10d ago |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC | buy | 30 | $0.159 | $4.77 | 10d ago |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC | buy | 418.51 | $0.159 | $66.54 | 10d ago |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC | buy | 100 | $0.168 | $16.8 | 10d ago |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC | buy | 133 | $0.168 | $22.34 | 10d ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.290 | $322.19 | 10d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?Yes | buy | 600.44 | $0.167 | $100 | 10d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.280 | $333 | 10d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 15.32K | $0.210 | $3.22K | 10d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 15.32K | $0.200 | $3.06K | 10d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 95.42 | $0.560 | $53.44 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 99 | $0.560 | $55.44 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 2.84 | $0.560 | $1.59 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | sell | 1.56K | $0.027 | $42.13 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | sell | 1.8K | $0.027 | $48.52 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.560 | $1.62 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | sell | 2.31K | $0.027 | $62.5 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 89.29 | $0.560 | $50 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | sell | 2.31K | $0.027 | $62.29 | 11d ago |
| Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 132 | $0.797 | $105.18 | 12d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | buy | 16K | $0.060 | $959.91 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?No | buy | 3.91K | $0.015 | $58.34 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.270 | $21.6 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 75.34 | $0.270 | $20.34 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.270 | $108 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.270 | $40.5 | 18d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.