Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | sell | 9.69 | $0.590 | $5.72 | Mar 4, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 6 |
| $0.160 |
| $0.96 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.410 | $1.43 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.320 | $0.8 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.591 | $0.43 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.122 | $0.15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | sell | 5.48 | $0.500 | $2.74 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.330 | $0.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 3.54 | $0.200 | $0.71 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.400 | $2.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.140 | $0.23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 3.05 | $0.540 | $1.65 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Mar 1, 2026 |
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.369 | $2.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.997 | $1.38 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionNo | sell | 2.27 | $0.997 | $2.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 4.51 | $0.720 | $3.25 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.422 | $18.75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 12.84 | $0.230 | $2.95 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp | sell | 3.71 | $0.730 | $2.71 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp | buy | 3.66 | $0.530 | $1.94 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.200 | $0.25 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?No | sell | 6 | $0.699 | $4.19 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.940 | $1.65 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.410 | $2.46 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.350 | $0.42 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 5?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 4.59 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.320 | $0.19 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.140 | $0.34 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,940 on the final trading day of February 2026?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.490 | $2.04 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.350 | $2.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 6 | $0.008 | $0.05 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.721 | $4.33 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?No | sell | 6 | $0.630 | $3.78 | Feb 25, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.320 | $1.92 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.180 | $0.7 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in February 2026?Yes | sell | 4.22 | $0.130 | $0.55 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.650 | $1.33 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 2 | $0.533 | $1.07 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 23 above $405?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.590 | $1.78 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.760 | $1.39 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.120 | $0.14 | Feb 24, 2026 |