
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 120 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 27 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 25.5% on 28 Feb 2026. $54.04K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 51.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 3.5% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies publicly tradable sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-march-31-2026
| Yes |
| 280.31 |
| yvinl | Yes | 241.75 |
| tdabsnn | Yes | 200.83 |
| rcfxdshjb | Yes | 151.5 |
| sociedad | Yes | 125.5 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 93 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page