Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 169 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 23 Jul 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.6% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 9 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 74.5% on 29 May 2026. $90.04K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 24, 2:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 169 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 23 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Jul 2026 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Pioneer C177 | No | 4.84K |
| johnchenhui | No | 634 |
| AnoTaj | No | 326.74 |
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal
| Lakhey | No | 182.47 |
| haraya | No | 165 |
| Sauron2981 | No | 100 |
| gg3g12 | No | 100 |
| celebrete | No | 100 |
| Pitiful-Sunglasses | No | 99.73 |
| autocap | No | 99.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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