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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.99 | $0.894 | $0.95 | +$0.07 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 12 | $0.390 | $4.68 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.99 |
| $0.560 |
| $0.5 |
| -$0.05 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 0.98 | $0.390 | $0.04 | -$0.34 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 0.25 | $0.369 | $0.02 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 90 |
| $0.052 |
| $4.68 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.220 | $3.52 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.300 | $4.8 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 39 | $0.150 | $5.85 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 39 | $0.160 | $6.24 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.056 | $5.04 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 11 | $0.789 | $8.68 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 17 | $0.748 | $12.72 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.107 | $6.85 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.070 | $3.64 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 11 | $0.551 | $6.06 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.100 | $5.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.031 | $5.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.360 | $10.44 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 29 | $0.380 | $11.02 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.350 | $6.65 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.051 | $2.73 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 181 | $0.062 | $11.22 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 31 | $0.511 | $15.84 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 67 | $0.380 | $25.46 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.610 | $15.86 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 48 | $0.510 | $24.48 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 31 | $0.520 | $16.12 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.150 | $19.65 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.160 | $20.96 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 71 | $0.890 | $63.19 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 53 | $0.230 | $12.19 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.240 | $12.72 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.250 | $6.25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 28 | $0.884 | $24.75 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.210 | $3.36 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.883 | $16.78 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.430 | $6.88 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.347 | $27.06 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 71 | $0.887 | $62.98 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.050 | $6.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.780 | $5.46 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.650 | $5.85 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.100 | $7.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.170 | $5.61 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.120 | $9.12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.800 | $6.4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.898 | $8.08 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.190 | $10.26 | Feb 24, 2026 |