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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.74 | +$0.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?No | buy | 6 | $0.850 | $5.1 | 28d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.860 |
| $9.64 |
| +$1.04 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.894 | $9.28 | +$0.34 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $5.75 | -$2.95 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.85 | +$0.35 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.880 | $4.83 | +$0.43 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 5 | $0.910 | $4.68 | +$0.13 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 4.56 | $0.910 | $4.22 | +$0.07 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5 | $0.790 | $4.06 | +$0.11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| sell |
| 2.32 |
| $0.060 |
| $0.14 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.894 | $8.94 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on July 30?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.970 | $7.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 29?No | buy | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 28?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.990 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 40.49 | $0.988 | $40 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.948 | $5.32 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.23 | $0.271 | $2.23 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.920 | $2.01 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 16 above $275?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.950 | $6.07 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.890 | $5.06 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.23 | $0.243 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $330?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $270?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.770 | $1.66 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.977 | $4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.88 | $0.919 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 29.1 | $0.760 | $22.12 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | buy | 9.87 | $0.200 | $1.97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 19.51 | $0.330 | $6.44 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on February 18?Down | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 9.73 | $0.370 | $3.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.964 | $9.64 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 15.52 | $0.962 | $14.93 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.550 | $2.67 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.40 in February?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.910 | $4.15 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |