Analytics
Yes is at 4.6%, down 16 points from 21% when the market opened on 4 Feb 2026.
Across the 247 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76% on 23 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 31 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.6%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 57% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”.
$6.78K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $608.96, with a 5.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 191 trades, $266.28 bought Yes and $1.23K bought No.
The largest Yes position is rocky42014 with 300 shares; the largest No position is thebetter1234 with 846. Ten wallets hold 82% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 247 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 21.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thebetter1234 | No | 846 |
| rocky42014 | Yes | 300 |
| Misty Kestrel CAC1 | No | 266.64 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
4 more markets, none above 7.5%.
| Perypery |
| Yes |
| 252.61 |
| kittycat67 | Yes | 134 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 105.62 |
| Wetti64 | No | 105.32 |
| ma99 | Yes | 99.89 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 88.33 |
| Raketa09 | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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