Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 23 Jul 2026.
Across the 94 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the price held at 0.4%. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%.
It is one of 43 markets under “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”.
$884.44K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.12M, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 163 trades, $495.94 bought Yes and $3.79K bought No; the largest was a $1.02K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA with 440.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.61M. Ten wallets hold 84.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 23 Jul 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.61M |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Yes | 440.71K |
| Brokie | Yes | 319K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028
30 more markets, none above 0.4%.
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 303.65K |
| 11122 | Yes | 205K |
| LAROW | Yes | 200K |
| J-E-R | Yes | 121.13K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 88.25K |
| cobble | Yes | 75K |
| NyetRisk | Yes | 67.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
