Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 14 | $0.470 | $12.11 | +$5.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.760 | $4.08 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.63 |
| $0.590 |
| $10.89 |
| +$1.08 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.8 | $0.510 | $8.23 | +$3.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.9 | $0.620 | $6.51 | -$1.48 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.65 | $0.790 | $5.39 | -$0.65 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 7.79 | $0.770 | $5.38 | -$0.62 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 5.37 | $0.760 | $4.59 | +$0.51 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.430 | $3.88 | +$0.44 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 8.3 | $0.300 | $2.86 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 8 | $0.260 | $2.36 | +$0.28 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.5 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.460 |
| $10 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.240 | $1.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.499 | $1.52 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 17 | $0.430 | $7.31 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.419 | $1.26 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 14.25 | $0.320 | $4.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.500 | $4.97 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.560 | $4.93 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40.49 | $0.247 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.330 | $4.62 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 16.59 | $0.490 | $8.13 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.84 | $0.250 | $1.71 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.750 | $2.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No | buy | 9.63 | $0.513 | $4.94 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.666 | $4.69 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.670 | $4.69 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.330 | $4.62 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.63 | $0.590 | $9.81 | Jul 6, 2026 |