Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 74% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 24 Jul 2026, the highest close was 83.5% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 0.3% on 24 Jul 2026. $58.48K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 7:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 24 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 74.0% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Twinsson | Yes | 5.2K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 3.92K |
| Bronze-Commander-Swell | Yes | 2.63K |
| Kalkay11 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-13
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 806.5 |
| tyrone6969 | Yes | 715.57 |
| CrazyArab | Yes | 613.29 |
| AutoOdds | Yes | 582.64 |
| thursdays | Yes | 424 |
| GUINESS123 | Yes | 249 |
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